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Business Inventories
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Definition
Business inventories are the dollar amount of inventories held by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers. The level of inventories in relation to sales is an important indicator of the near-term direction of production activity. Why Investors Care
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| Released on
12/13/05
For
Oct 2005 |
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Inventories, M/M change
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| Actual |
0.3%
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| Consensus |
0.4%
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| Consensus Range |
0.3%
to
0.6%
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| Previous |
0.4
%
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Highlights
October business inventories rose 0.3% in October vs. a 0.5% rise in September. Year-on-year, inventories were up 4.1% in the month.
Business sales were up 0.8% in the month and up 7.6% year-on-year. The inventory-to-sales ratio remains at a very thin 1.25.
Retailer inventories, the new information in Tuesday's Commerce Department report, edged 0.1% higher following a 0.8% gain in September.
As already reported, factory inventories rose 0.6% while wholesaler inventories rose 0.2%.
Inventories remain lean and do not pose a risk to future production, and in fact the need for replenishment given solid consumer and industrial demand may add to future growth.
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Market Consensus Before Announcement
Business inventories rose 0.5 percent in September and another rise is expected in October. Manufacturers' inventories rose 0.6 percent after posting a smaller 0.1 percent gain in the previous month, while wholesale trade inventories rose 0.2 percent; only retail trade inventories are missing.
Business inventories Consensus Forecast for Oct 05: 0.4 percent Range: 0.3 to 0.6 percent
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Trends
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Inventories tend to rise when economic conditions are strong; since sales are rising at the same time, the inventory-to-sales ratio may remain stable, or rise at a very slow pace. Inventories tend to drop when economic conditions are weak; since sales are falling at the same time, the inventory-to-sales ratio may remain relatively stable. The I-S ratio then begins to rise as sales fall more quickly than inventory growth. |
Data Source: Haver Analytics
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