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Business Inventories
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Definition
Business inventories are the dollar amount of inventories held by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers. The level of inventories in relation to sales is an important indicator of the near-term direction of production activity. Why Investors Care
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| Released on
8/11/05
For
Jun 2005 |
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Inventories, M/M change
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| Actual |
0.0%
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| Consensus |
0.1%
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| Consensus Range |
-0.2%
to
0.3%
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Highlights
Business inventories were unchanged in June while business sales, swollen by autos, rose 0.7% -- pushing the inventory-to-sales ratio down to a very lean 1.29.
Retailer inventories, the new data set in the day's report, were down 0.4%. Inventories at auto dealers fell a very sharp 2.4% and are likely to fall again in the July data as incentives swept dealer lots clear. Excluding cars, retail inventories were up 0.6%.
How much of the inventory drawdown at dealers will auto-makers replenish? Incentives are leading to a series of economic imbalances, which are just beginning to play out.
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Market Consensus Before Announcement
Business inventories were unchanged in May. In June, manufacturers' inventories were unchanged after dipping 0.2 percent in May. Wholesale and retail trade inventories were a bit stronger than manufacturing in May.
Business inventories Consensus Forecast for June 05: 0.1 percent Range: -0.2 to 0.3 percent
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Trends
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Inventories tend to rise when economic conditions are strong; since sales are rising at the same time, the inventory-to-sales ratio may remain stable, or rise at a very slow pace. Inventories tend to drop when economic conditions are weak; since sales are falling at the same time, the inventory-to-sales ratio may remain relatively stable. The I-S ratio then begins to rise as sales fall more quickly than inventory growth. |
Data Source: Haver Analytics
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