2008 Economic Calendar
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Bank of Canada Announcement
Definition
The Bank of Canada Governing Council meets and makes an announcement about every six weeks to indicate the near-term direction of monetary policy. The announcement conveys to the financial markets and investors if and what change in policy might be. Why Investors Care

Highlights
As expected, the Bank of Canada increased its key interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.25 percent. It had rested at 2.5 percent since October 19, 2004 before increasing to 2.75 percent in September and 3 percent in October. The Canadian economy is operating at close to full capacity, and economic data are strong.

In its statement, the Bank said
"Information received since the October Monetary Policy Report (MPR) indicates that the Canadian and global economies have been evolving largely in line with the Bank's expectations. In Canada, despite somewhat stronger than expected output growth in the third quarter, the Bank expects the level of economic activity at the end of 2005 to be about as projected in the MPR. Total CPI inflation, at 2.6 per cent in October, has come down more quickly than expected, primarily reflecting a rapid decline in gasoline prices. Core inflation, at 1.7 per cent in October, is in line with the Bank's projection. Overall, the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation through 2006 and 2007 is broadly unchanged from October.

"The Bank continues to judge that the risks to the outlook are balanced over the short term, but are tilted to the downside through 2007 and beyond. In line with the outlook, some further reduction in monetary stimulus will be required to maintain a balance between aggregate supply and demand over the next four to six quarters and keep inflation on target. The Bank will continue to monitor international developments particularly closely and to assess the adjustments and underlying trends in the Canadian economy, as well as the balance of risks, as it conducts monetary policy to keep inflation on target over the medium term."

Trends
[Chart] The Bank of Canada has an inflation target: a 1-to-3 percent range with a specific focus at the 2-percent midpoint. To better track the core rate of inflation, the Bank uses a consumer price index that excludes eight volatile components: fruits, vegetables, gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas, mortgage interest, intercity transportation, and tobacco products (as well as the effect of changes in indirect taxes on the remaining components.) The interest rate was 2 percent from April 13, 2004 until September 8, 2004 when it was raised by 25 basis points to 2.25 percent. The Bank followed with a second 25 basis point increase to 2.5 percent on October 19, 2004 where it remained until September 7th of this year when the Bank increased rates to 2.75 percent and on October 18th, to 3 percent. Today's increase to 3.25 percent narrows the spread between U.S. and Canadian rates to 75 basis points.
Data Source: Haver Analytics

 
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