2018 Economic Calendar
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Import and Export Prices  
Released On 2/16/2018 8:30:00 AM For Jan, 2018
PriorPrior RevisedConsensusConsensus RangeActual
Import Prices - M/M change0.1 %0.2 %0.6 %0.3 % to 0.6 %1.0 %
Export Prices - M/M change-0.1 %0.1 %0.3 %0.2 % to 0.3 %0.8 %
Import Prices - Y/Y change3.0 %3.2 %3.6 %
Export Prices - Y/Y change2.6 %2.8 %3.4 %

Underscoring the strength of Wednesday's core reading for the CPI, import prices surged a far stronger than expected 1.0 percent in January. And the gain isn't tied entirely to an upswing for energy as non-petroleum prices rose an unusually strong 0.5 percent. A rare 0.5 percent price jump for imported vehicles is a key detail of the report as are higher prices for imported food & beverages.

The export side shows very similar strength, up 0.8 percent overall and including even greater traction for finished goods with capital goods up 0.5 percent in the month and consumer and vehicle export prices up 0.3 percent which are outsized gains for these readings.

Year-on-year rates are back near their best readings of the expansion, at 3.6 percent for imports and 3.4 percent for exports. But it's import prices that are in special focus as expected gains here, tied to a yearlong decline in the dollar, will act to inflate the economy and after today's report are now an increasingly important factor that hawks at the FOMC will be watching with caution.

Consensus Outlook
Import prices have shown pressure in recent months but not when excluding petroleum where readings have been flat. December's results were weak throughout including for export prices. Tangible improvement is the call for January where the consensus for import prices is a gain of 0.6 percent and 0.3 percent for export prices.

Import price indexes are compiled for the prices of goods that are bought in the United States but produced abroad and export price indexes are compiled for the prices of goods sold abroad but produced domestically. These prices indicate inflationary trends in internationally traded products.  Why Investors Care
Yearly changes in import and export prices reveal long term price trends for tradable goods, whether inflationary, disinflationary, or deflationary.
Data Source: Haver Analytics

2018 Release Schedule
Released On: 1/102/163/154/125/116/147/138/149/1410/1211/1512/13
Release For: DecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov

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