2017 Economic Calendar
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S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller HPI  
Released On 3/28/2017 9:00:00 AM For Jan, 2017
PriorPrior RevisedConsensusConsensus RangeActual
20-city, SA - M/M0.9 %0.8 %0.6 % to 1.0 %0.9 %
20-city, NSA - M/M0.3 %0.2 %
20-city, NSA - Yr/Yr5.6 %5.5 %5.7 %5.6 % to 5.7 %5.7 %

Highlights
Case-Shiller home prices are on the climb, posting a third straight 0.9 percent monthly gain for the 20-city adjusted index. This is the strongest run in nearly 4 years. Year-on-year appreciation is up 2 tenths to 5.7 percent for the highest rate in 2-1/2 years.

Once again the strength is being led by what have been the lagging cities. Chicago, up 1.3 percent in January's data, is on a strong 4-month run as is Washington DC, up 1.0 percent in the month. New York, up 0.7 percent, is on a strong 3-month run but still trails in last for the year-on-year rate, at plus 3.2 percent but improving. Western names continue to lead with Seattle out in front at 11.2 percent followed by Portland and Denver at 9.6 and 9.2 percent.

This report contrasts with the FHFA in direction, that is this index is climbing while the latter is slipping. But together, they're both converging on a 6.0 percent rate that in a low inflation economy is very respectable. And the geographic widening in strength is a special plus of this report, one that points to a solid, though not spectacular, contribution from housing. Note that the unadjusted index, which is tracked in this report, rose only 0.2 percent in February reflecting the month's comparatively slow pace of housing activity.

Recent History Of This Indicator
Lack of resales on the market has been keeping home prices firm. The Case-Shiller 20-city index jumped an outsized 0.9 percent in December with year-on-year appreciation rising 4 tenths to 5.6 percent. Forecasters, at a consensus 0.8 percent monthly gain and 5.7 percent yearly rate, are looking for extending strength in the January report in what would contrast with softness for the FHFA house price index.

Definition
The S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller home price index tracks monthly changes in the value of residential real estate in 20 metropolitan regions across the U.S. Composite indexes and regional indexes measure changes in existing home prices and are based on single-family home re-sales. The expanded 20-city measure is the key series. The original series (still available) covered 10 cities. A national index is published quarterly. The indexes are based on single-family dwellings with two or more sales transactions. Condominiums and co-ops are excluded as is new construction. The Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are published monthly on the last Tuesday of each month at 9:00 AM ET. The latest data are reported with a two-month lag. For example data released in January 2016 are for November. Note that S&P, citing large seasonal swings in the housing sector and the risk of adjustment inaccuracies, urges readers to track unadjusted data in this report.  Why Investors Care
 
[Chart]
The Case-Shiller Home Price Index is based on repeat transactions. That is, appreciation or depreciation is for same houses resold. This index is probably the best measure of changes in home prices. While it covers the gamut of types of houses sold, it is limited to metropolitan areas.
Data Source: Haver Analytics
 
 

2017 Release Schedule
Released On: 1/312/283/284/255/306/277/258/299/2610/3111/2812/27
Release For: NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
 


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