2009 Economic Calendar
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Released On 6/9/2009 8:55:00 AM For wk6/6, 2009
Store Sales Y/Y change0.1 %-4.4 %

Redbook reports a colossal plunge in same-store sales for the June 6 week, down 4.4 percent year-on-year and down 4.3 percent compared to the full month of May. The 4.4 percent plunge is not comparable to anything Redbook has been posting this cycle. And the magnitude of the week-to-week change in the year-on-year rate, to -4.4 percent vs. +0.1 percent in the May 30 week, is also unprecedented. The removal of Wal-Mart from Redbook's sample may be behind the movement (Wal-Mart's gone into hiding) as are no doubt year-on-year comparison problems with last year's tax rebates. The latter factor, however, doesn't explain the -4.3 percent comparison with the full month of May. The text is very mild, citing cooler weather for the decline as well as the stimulus checks. It will be interesting to see Redbook's report next week. The Commerce Department will post May retail sales on Thursday in a report, which if surprising, that will move global markets in an instant.

A weekly measure of comparable store sales at chain stores, discounters, and department stores. It is a less consistent indicator of retail sales than the weekly ICSC-Goldman index. It is also calculated differently than other indicators. For instance, figures for the first week of the month are compared with the average for the entire previous month. When two weeks are available, then these are compared with the average for the previous month, and so on through the month. It might be more useful to compare year-over-year figures since these are indeed compared to the comparable week a year ago. This index is correlated with the general merchandise portion of retail sales covering about 10 percent of total retail sales.  Why Investors Care

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